I understand Carlos Gomez is fast, but as the wags say, you can't steal first base. A sub .300 OBP isn't going to get it done. And a sub .400 SLG leaves a huge production gap from their previous CF, the much unfairly maligned Mike Cameron, and is multiplied by Hardy's departure.
That said, this deal might make more sense if it is part of a larger strategy that has yet to play out.
The obvious corresponding move is not to bring Cameron back -- that amounts to a salary savings of around $15MM when added to what they will save on JJ (although that figure might not be as great given Gomez's Super Two status). Apparently Doug will use the budget room for pitching, but perhaps he will not work via the obvious route (free agency); maybe he is looking to make a deal with a team interested in trimming salary? It could be that a team seeking salary relief would take a number of prospects combined with a cheaper vet (e.g. Corey Hart) in order to get rid of an expensive pitcher.
As losing Cam and Hardy while adding Gomez amounts to less offense, perhaps there is another, deeper plan here: Maybe Melvin is clearing budget not just for pitching but to make a move to extend Prince Fielder. I wonder about this because I don't see much offense for MKE after next season if they let Prince go. (My guess is that without an extension, Prince gets dealt next off-season. Therefore, I think as a practical matter he is really under team control just for this coming season.) There are few real offensive difference makers in the upper minors for the Brewers, and other than Ryan Braun, there are serious production questions at the MLB level without Prince. If Melvin is seeing the same thing, maybe he not only wants to acquire an arm or two, but have enough room to make a credible offer to secure the middle of the line up beyond 2010.Of course, that raises another question: Should the Brewers extend Prince? Heredity is probably working against Fielder, so I think there are risks in keeping him past age 30 -- I suspect injury caused by his size might limit him, thus lowering his production. But I can see the argument for keeping him, too: Dude is a draw at the gate and very popular with the fans -- and attendance matters in MKE. Coupled with Braun, they provide a potent punch in the middle of a line up that just lost a 20+ homer a year SS and is probably about to lose a 25ish HR a year CF. I don't think they can count on Hart, Casey McGhee or Rickie Weeks to pick up that slack, as Corey has been inconsistent, Casey might be a fluke and Weeks is beginning to look like an injury waiting to happen. The Brewers need some pop in their line up and there is precious little of that on the farm. Like it or not, Prince might be a "must sign" for this team.
So before I damn the Hardy-for-Gomez sway (as much as I want to) I am going to wait until the music stops playing before I come to a final conclusion.

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